Draft Pick Value & Analysis – Part 5 – Mock Draft 2.0

The following is Part 5 of a 5-part series written by Nagasaki.

This week we took a look at historical data and how ADP and expected drafts should fall, and the hit rates at each selection on finding RB1s, WR1 and WR2s, and of course, flex players.  

While teams sometimes draft for needs, the range in which players are selected stay relatively consistent.   Let’s take a look back and see how the players panned out over the past 5 years of MFFL drafts.   

Remember, 

Bench players can be had for league minimum and carry a worth of $1.00 or less.

• QB1s are worth $3 – $20
• RB1s are worth $14 – $42
• WR1s are worth $13 – $31
• WR2s are worth $7 – $12
• TE1s are worth $1.90 – $16
• FLEX are worth $3 – $13

(FLEX are typically RB13 or lower and WR25 and lower)

These are the ROI costs for expected PPG against peers at their positions in a $100M cap league with MFFL scoring rules.  You can view these values on the MFFL Worth Chart.   

Listed by the pick number is the 2021 Franchise with that selection.   

The thing I challenge you to ponder is: 

• Can I replicate the historical talent with this pick ?   
• Would I be content with the rookie contract cost for that ROI ? 
• Should I trade up or down from my selection and what could I get for it ? 

1.01 Switzerland Squirrels – $3.60 / $7.20 / $10.80 / $14.40

MFFL Historical results at this selection

2016 – RB Ezekiel Elliott
2017 – RB Leonard Fournette
2018 – RB Saquon Barkley
2019 – RB David Montgomery
2020 – RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire 

Switzerland has the 1.01 which is typically a no-brainer starter.  With Harris or Etienne, you should get ROI worth and production like all 5 players listed.

This pick will come with little debate, but some, nonetheless.  This would typically be an RB without argument.  In a PPR/Target league, a WR could prove more beneficial in the long run.  The cost of the pick would dictate that you want an RB1 or WR1 by year 4, or a WR2 by year 2 based solely on contract.  RB will typically bring production sooner, but WRs tend to have lasting production longer.   Switzerland has been scoutling Travis Etienne for several years, waiting for the opportunity to draft him.   Landing spot has many questioning his fantasy rank, so trading down a couple spots might be the best opportunity to get their guy, while gaining some extra capital, be it extra pick(s) or a position player.   If not, the Squirrels get their man.

With the 1st pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Switzerland Squirrels select,

Travis Etienne, RB, Jacksonville

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1.02 Nagasaki Kamikazes –  $3.40 / $6.80 / $10.20 / $13.60

WR Sterling Shepard
RB Christian McCaffrey
RB Darius Guice
RB Josh Jacobs
RB Jonathan Taylor

Nagasaki has picks 2 and 3.   As you can see by the history, could be huge, but could flop.   Who wouldn’t want CMC caliber at this spot?   At $10.20 – $13.60 in the later half, CMC would be a steal…   but you could have a Sterling Shepard or Darius Guice at that cost and production here.  Yikes.

If Harris is on the board, the Kamikazes take him.   Nagasaki has picks 2 and 3, so Etienne would be available at 1.03 giving the Kamikazes the opportunity to have a future PPR stud RB, allowing them to take WR1 Ja’Marr Chase at the 1.02 spot.   The TE at this position would require Pitts to finish TE7 or better in year 1, and top 2 or 3 TE in the back half of his contract.   Without the ability to shave down salary, Nagasaki is better off selecting a WR and moving on from Hopkins and Adams’ large salaries to pair Chase with the more favorable Kamikaze contracts at WR in Brown, Johnson, and Claypool.   

With the 2nd pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Nagasaki Kamikazes select,

Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati

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1.03 Nagasaki Kamikazes –  $3.20 / $6.40 / $9.60 / $12.80

WR Corey Coleman
WR Corey Davis
RB Royce Freeman
RB Miles Sanders
RB D’Andre Swift 

The Kamikazes follow up with back to back picks.   These are high profile picks that come from doing poorly or trading away talent to get.   So far, the worst historical pick, at least early on, with a max out at $12.80 in year 4, who wouldn’t be tempted to trade out and not get the next Corey Coleman, Corey Davis or Royce Freeman?   Even Sanders and Swift are still prove-it players from this pick.  

Nagasaki has picks 2 and 3, so Etienne or Harris would be available at 1.03 giving the Kamikazes the opportunity to have a future PPR stud RB, allowing them to take WR1 Ja’Marr Chase at the 1.02 spot.   The TE at this position would require Pitts to finish TE7 or better in year 1, and top 2 or 3 TE in the back half of his contract.   Without the ability to shave down salary, Nagasaki is better off selecting a WR and moving on from Hopkins and Adams’ large salaries to pair Chase with the more favorable Kamikaze contracts at WR in Brown, Johnson, and Claypool.   

With the 3rd pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Nagasaki Kamikazes select, 

Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh

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1.04 Bangkok Blitz – $3.00 / $6.00 / $9.00 / $12.00

WR Laquon Treadwell
RB Joe Mixon
WR Calvin Ridley
WR N’Keal Harry
RB JK Dobbins 

Bangkok is up with the 4th pick.  Typically deemed one of the unfortunate picks, but pressure off picks, as there’s usually a top3 and then you choose the best of the rest.  Having seen the 3 spot results, this looks a bit better of value.  However, for Mixon or Ridley, you could also land the next Treadwell or Harry.   With the latter, you might not make it to $12 mil. 

Harris, Etienne, and Chase should be off the board when 1.04 is on the clock.  Bangkok shaved down Running Back salaries prior to rule changes, and can afford to take a chance on TE Kyle Pitts, setting him up to be the highest paid TE in the league in a year or two.   

With the 4th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Bangkok Blitz select,

Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta

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1.05 Russia Renegades –  $2.60 / $5.20 / $7.80 / $10.40

RB Derrick Henry
RB Dalvin Cook
RB Rashaad Penny
RB Darrell Henderson
RB Cam Akers 

Russia is on the clock with pick 5.  A chance at a guy like Henry or Cook.   Even Akers is showing signs he could be something special here.   On the flipping you could land a very expensive corral piece that never cost you any cash spent, for doing time in the tank.   A player like Penny, who has turned his worth at this spot into his last name.   Henderson is heading down the same path but worse, as it’s costing cash and eating cap space.  

Russia is looking extremely solid, now and for years ahead.   A TE would take it up another notch.   Believing Pitts goes 1.04, the Renegades could go a few ways here.   They could trade down or out of this pick.   If they don’t the next need would be reload at the Running Back position.   RB2 or better numbers and cost, not until year 3, would allow time to see if Williams earns more playing time, forcing Gordon out.

With the 5th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Russia Renegades select,

Javonte Wiliams, RB, Denver

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1.06 Ecuador Ewoks – $2.40 / $4.80 / $7.20 / $9.60

WR Josh Doctson
RB Kareem Hunt
RB Nick Chubb
QB Kyler Murray
WR CeeDee Lamb 

At 6, you typically see the start of receiver runs, or an outside shot at RB after the big 3.  Chubb and Hunt were really good picks here but Hunt ruined it for both with his shenanigans as a lone backfield for each would be even better here than a shared backfield.   Murray was a stretch but so far, even at the cost, he’s in the worth category for QB PPG ROI.  Josh Doctson, well, no pick has hit every year so far in this recap.  

Ecuador could shop this pick around.   Perhaps someone would move up to get a jump on WR.   Receivers tend to take a few years to get going and the 6 pick typically starts the run on WR.   Ecuador has a lot of needs but can be patient and find deals in the auction with the cash they have, they can push other bidders to drop out.   Less than 20% of 938 games resulted in WR1 numbers from this pick, but almost half the games were FLEX numbers and justify a starter.   

With the 6th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Ecuador Ewoks select, 

Devonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia

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1.07 Ukraine Grainers – $2.30 / $4.60 / $6.90 / $9.20

WR Tyler Boyd
TE OJ Howard
WR DJ Moore
WR Parris Campbell
WR Jerry Jeudy

For investment, a TE needs to be top 6, or a WR1 or WR2, at these costs by year 3 and 4.   It’s been borderline for some above but the ROI is a stretch.  Ukraine will be at pick 7 and looking for a WR to become more than FLEX-worthy.  

Ukraine has two consecutive picks and in the middle they fall during the WR run we see most years.   The Grainers have the luxury of reloading anywhere while not having any direct needs.   Waddle, Bateman, and a pair of Moores would be the likely choices available in the middle of the first round.  Waddle gives an opportunity to have a Tyreek Hill replacement in Ukraine.   If Ukraine doesn’t send away pick 1.08 that would most likely be where Waddle falls.   Rondale and Elijah will be the ponder at this pick.   

With the 7th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Ukraine Grainers select,

Rondale Moore, WR, Arizona

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1.08 Ukraine Grainers – $2.20 / $4.40 / $6.60 / $8.80

RB Devontae Booker
RB D’Onta Foreman
WR Michael Gallup
WR DK Metcalf
WR Jalen Reagor 

Ukraine on the clock again, and if history serves as a guide, stick to the WR run and don’t reach at RB.   Booker and Foreman, um…  yeah so Gallup and Metcalf have WR2 and WR1 ability, while it’s early on Reagor, revisit my article on ‘Help me help you’ and the physical traits of a WR. 

With the 8th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Ukraine Grainers select, 

Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami

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1.09 Jamaica Jerks – $1.90 / $3.80 / $5.70/ $7.60

WR Will Fuller
WR Mike Williams
RB Ronald Jones
WR Marquise Brown
WR Justin Jefferson

Still WR heavy at this point and History shows that.   Ronald Jones was a late chance using this pick for RB but has provided flex numbers from the 1st round.  

Fuller 6’0, Williams 6’4, Jefferson 6’1, 

WR2s with WR1 physical abilities, providing at least FLEX numbers.   

Marquise Brown…  5’9… please please read the 5 part draft history and prep articles. 

Jamaica can go a few different directions here.   They could use an impact player at WR or TE at the 9 pick.   The last 4 years, Mike Williams, Ronald Jones, Marquise Brown, Justin Jefferson, were the 1.09s.   While the first three haven’t been much to celebrate about, Jefferson going in this spot last year gives hope to the Jerks.   So, who might pan out to a fraction of JJ’s 2020 performance?   Rashod Bateman, Elijah Moore, Michael Carter?   Bateman perhaps brings the best talent but poor landing, while Carter and Moore have a promising landing spot for fantasy.   

With the 9th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Jamaica Jerks select, 

Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore

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1.10 Russia Renegades – $1.80 / $3.60 / $5.40 / $7.20

WR Tajae Sharpe
RB Alvin Kamara
RB Sony Michel
RB Damien Harris
WR Michael Pittman

Back end of the 1st and RBs return and in a deep class, Kamara fell here.   Now, owners here have tried to find a NE RB here, like, well, New England themselves have tried to find a RB period.  I suppose Rhanmondre Stevenson could, but shouldn’t, be the stretch pick here.  History says NO!   Pittman has time but didn’t produce year one.  Tajae…  sigh.  

Russia is stout at the receiver position, and while a chance of a Jackson/Bateman combo could be possible here, the Jerks might take a chance on Bateman first.     With Carter still on the board the Renegades perhaps continue to reload at RB chances.   Russia made a few trades in the offseason and now have the 1-2-3 picks from the 2019 draft in Jacobs-Montgomery-Sanders.   Hunt and Kerryon are still with Russia, both former 1st rounders as well.   $39.10 for the 5 RBs, and $32.50 next year for the 2019 trio the Renegades are heavily invested in the backfield.   However, 2 will walk next year and the 2019 trio will be faced with tag decisions the year after so Russia will continue to load up on RBs wherever available.

With the 10th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Russia Renegades select, 

Michael Carter, RB, NY Jets

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1.11 Nagasaki Kamikazes – $1.70 / $3.40 / $5.10 / $6.80

WR Michael Thomas
TE David Njoku
RB Kerryon Johnson
TE TJ Hockenson
RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn 

Still in the coveted Round one.  Owners give up proven stars for these picks.   I must say, this might be the worst historical first round Pick despite MT breaking out from here.   Njoku, KJ, Vaughn…  Hockenson was a good start to the TE run.  Njoku really wasn’t.   Good luck Nagasaki.  As if losing 2 Super Bowls in three years isn’t gut busting enough, having a haunted pick 11 is the Super Bowl hangover.   

The Kamikazes addressed the RB and WR at the top of the draft and need at this pick would be QB and TE.   Nagasaki will need to begin a contingency plan for Murray, now in his 3rd year of his 4 year contract.   They would like to begin a backup plan for Travis Kelce as he ages, but not at this pick.   Nagasaki could use this pick to start the run on QBs or possibly trade out of it.   With Swift and Harris (or Etienne) the Kamikazes can continue to stock the WR room with the ability to start 5 now with the rule changes.   Brown, Chase, Johnson, Claypool, and ‘WR-Here,’ could be the future when they move on from Hopkins and Adams large salaries.   

With the 11th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Nagasaki Kamikazes select, 

Terrace Marshall, WR, Carolina

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1.12 San Juan Scorpions – $1.60 / $3.20 / $4.80 / $6.40

QB Jared Goff
WR Juju Smith Schuster
WR Courtland Sutton
RB Justice Hill
WR Tee Higgins 

Late first..  or true start of the second, the 12 pick hasn’t been good.   Rivaling the 11 pick for futility, the prospects haven’t been good.   Goff or Hill…   would you trade a 1st to get either of them back?    Juju had year 4 worth in years 1 and 2 of contract.   The wheels fell off, or at least a flat tire.   Sutton and Higgins have potential still to return value on the cost. 

Kamara, Chubb, Metcalf, … Reagor… errr….  The Scorpions were on a roll with amazing output from the latter half of the first round each year, until passing on Jefferson for Reagor last year.   Elijah Moore might still be on the board, as well as RB4 Trey Sermon.  San Juan has choices and while there’s time for Reagor to turn things around, the Scorpions have Metcalf and McLaurin for multiple years.  Next off-season, San Juan will need to address Diggs, Kamara, Chubb, and QB Allen, all in final years, so this could give the Scorpions first crack at the 2021 QB class.   There are a few talented QBs in this class but it’s always fun to have a hometown player to watch for fantasy and reality.   

With the 12th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the San Juan Scorpions select,

Justin Fields, QB, Chicago

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2.01 Wake Island Wookiees – $1.40 / $2.80 / $4.20 / $5.60

TE Hunter Henry
QB Mitchell Trubisky
WR Anthony Miller
WR Deebo Samuel
WR Henry Ruggs 

Pressure off.   The second round feels like it’s OK if my guy doesn’t make it.  In the 1st it seems like an embarrassment if you miss.  And trust me, several of those were mine.   There’s always hype on players that “should be” first rounders and you feel you got a steal being able to draft early in the second and catch those 1st round hype players.   Considering it would cost you one of these next 4 picks as collateral to overspend in the NFT auction and land a top 10 talent at top 5 price or more.   Should I keep this pick?   See history of 2.01 above.  

The Wookiees have a rebuild at the moment, and with the owner hiring a new GM, there are several things to tackle.   First on the list might be a QB.   Wake has already started retooling with a few moves to try and compete while rebuilding the future, and there are several moves left to be made in roster cuts, the auction, and possible trades.   For now at this point I see the Wookiees grabbing a young leader before they miss the run.   

With the 13th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Wake Island Wookiees select, 

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville

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2.02 Bangkok Blitz – $1.30 / $2.60 / $3.90 / $5.20

RB Jordan Howard
WR Kenny Golladay
QB Sam Darnold
WR JJ Arcega Whiteside
QB Joe Burrow 

A selection of second chances, Burrow after injury, Howard with different teams, Darnold with a new team, Golladay after injury and with a new team, and well, JJ, not very good-good.  Fingers crossed, some of the names have another shot.  

Bangkok tanked a couple of seasons to land a backfield for possibly the rest of the decade.   Then, they paid much of it down before the rules changed.   Grabbing prospect TE of the century earlier in the draft, the top need would be WR.   Sermon might still be available if he’s passed on by San Juan.   Trey has a lot of hype and Bangkok could trade down here with someone looking to move up to grab a lotto ticket in Sermon.   With lower than WR2 expectation or ROI at this pick, Moore might have fallen into a good opportunity with the Blitz.

With the 14th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Bangkok Blitz select, 

Elijah Moore, WR, NY Jets

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2.03 Jamaica Jerks – $1.20 / $2.40 / $3.60 / $4.80

QB Paxton Lynch
WR Zay Jones
QB Lamar Jackson
WR Andy Isabella
WR Brandon Aiyuk

For every Lamar Jackson you can find a Paxton Lynch here as well.   And Aiyuk looks like a real good find, but Isabella and Jones brought pain to that drafter.  (Both hands up here) 

Both of the needs could be addressed and available here for Jamaica.   Perhaps early to reach at TE2, and Burrow looking stronger with the recovery from his knee injury, the best available approach could be just fine here at pick 15.   

With the 15th pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Jamaica Jerks select, 

Trey Sermon, RB, San Francisco

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2.04 Russia Renegades – $1.10 / $2.20 / $3.30 / $4.40

RB CJ Prosise
QB Deshaun Watson
WR Tre’Quan Smith
RB Devin Singletary
RB Zack Moss 

A cheaper version on pick 10 where Michel and Harris went, 2.04 finds Moss and Singletary landing together as well.  Watson is a great value early in the 2nd as was Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow picks prior.  CJ and Tre bring this pick down.  

Russia most likely takes a shot on Michael Carter in the back end of round 1, and while TE would be a pressing need, it’s still too early here.  The Renegades could dangle the pick and see if other teams with needs give up extra to ride the tail end of where drafts tend to thin out.   Chances are no one bites with excess value for Russia, and the Renegades continue to stock up on young QBs in hopes to create a shortage in future years, forcing owners to come knocking with mercy.   

With the 16th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Russia Renegades select, 

Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco

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2.05 Jamaica Jerks – $1.00 / $1.90 / $2.90 / $3.80

TE Austin Hooper
QB Patrick Mahomes
WR Christian Kirk
WR AJ Brown
WR Denzel Mims 

Jamaica gets the honor or pick 17, where forecasted talent usually ends, at least rank-wise.  This has a solid history and perhaps the best all around value in any round so far.  

The Jerks passed on a QB at 15, having 17 as well, and now would be the time to consider a back-up for Joe Burrow.   Lance goes to Russia, and Jamaica has the choice of Wilson and Mac Jones here.   There’s other position players to take a chance on as well, and St Brown is a possible sleeper with NFL opportunity immediately.   This pick has FLEX cost from $1-$3.80 over 4 years, and if hit, could be a great value for future build.   The man with the golden tablet, Ahkmenrah, err, Amon-Ra, could be a golden ticket anyway….

With the 17th pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Jamaica Jerks select,

Amod-Ra St Brown, WR, Detroit

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2.06 Ukraine Grainers – $1.00 / $1.90 / $2.90 / $3.70

TE Tyler Higbee
TE Evan Engram
TE Hayden Hurst
TE Noah Fant
WR Laviska Shenault 

Tight End heavy until last year’s WR deep class.  At $1.00 – $3.70, you can’t really argue and perhaps Freiermuth lands here to return back to TE tradition.  

Ukraine has a loaded roster, a deep corral, and several picks.   Anyone at this pick will be a further load-up of the corral.   

With the 18th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Ukraine Grainers select, 

Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia

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2.07 Russia Renegades – $1.00 / $1.80 / $2.70 / $3.60

PK Roberto Aguayo
WR John Ross
QB Josh Rosen
WR Miles Boykin
RB AJ Dillon

A few corral life’ers here, along with a busted receiver and, well, a kicker.  And a bad one at that.  Dillon is in the corral but should make his way out soon and actually produce as a FLEX.  This pick exemplifies what drop-off tends to look like. 

Missing out on top TE Pitts, and fading the position up to this point, the Renegades could use this pick to finally take one with the TE2.  Another QB could be in the cards for Russia but Freiermuth won’t make it back to the Renegades in round 3.   The ROI on TE from this pick would be TE11 to TE8 by year 4.   

With the 19th pick in the 2021 MFFL draft, the Russia Renegades select, 

Pat Freiermuth, TE, Pittsburgh

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2.08 Egypt Pharaohs – $1.00 / $1.80 / $2.70 / $3.50

Forfeited pick
RB Samaje Perine
WR James Washington
WR Mecole Hardman
RB Darrynton Evans 

2.08 has been a pick of handcuff hopefuls and really that’s all it’s been.   No true value outside a few FLEX games have come from here.  

Egypt makes their debut in the 2021 draft with consecutive picks in round 2.   The Pharaohs tend to carry a deep receiving corps, have a dynasty QB, are too late for the RBs in this class, but could use a TE.   Freiermuth could be gone before Egypt drafts.   

With the 20th pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Egypt Pharaohs select, 

Dyami Brown, WR, Washington

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2.09 Egypt Pharaohs – $1.00 / $1.80 / $2.60 / $3.40

QB Dak Prescott
WR Dede Westbrook
TE Mike Gesicki
RB Alexander Mattison
WR Bryan Edwards 

Surprisingly, 2.09 has produced better talent than one would expect.  2.07 and 2.08 might want to trade down to 9 or 10 based on history alone.  

Pick 2 of back to back for Egypt.   They possess a deep WR corps and 2 of the receivers from the Giants.   Hedge your bet as to who will emerge.

With the 21st pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Egypt Pharaohs select, 

Kadarius Toney, WR, NY Giants

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2.10 San Juan Scorpions – $1.00 / $1.70 / $2.50 / $3.30

Forfeited pick
RB Marlon Mack
WR DJ Chark
QB Daniel Jones
RB Antonio Gibson 

This is the best historical pick in the 2nd round.   Mack, Chark, Gibson, …   deep in the 2nd.   The jury is still out on Jones.   One pick passed on, prior to the corral, as was another 2 picks prior.  San Juan has dibs on this pick, where they once found Marlon Mack.  

San Juan could double-up with another QB if one falls here, but they could further deepen the WR room.   Going in the corral, Eskridge could provide security for Metcalf on the Scorpions roster.   With a 1 in 3 chance of FLEX game talent at this position, the Scorpions could take a shot on a player with a great landing spot.  

With the 22nd pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the San Juan Scorpions select, 

D’Wayne Eskridge, WR, Seattle

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2.11 Christmas Island Crabs – $1.00/1.70/2.50/3.20

RB Kenyan Drake
RB Donnel Pumphrey
WR Dante Pettis
WR Riley Ridley
TE Cole Kmet

Drake churned out some good production surprisingly from a low 2nd round pick.   Pumphrey, Pettis and Ridley are more likely what you get here.   Good luck CIC. 

Christmas Island makes their 2021 draft debut with the last two picks of the second round.   In what appears to be a rebuilding year for the Crabs, they could use RB, WR or TE to start the ascend.   Young cheap Wide Receivers are the way of CIC.   

With the 23rd pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Christmas Island Crabs select, 

Amari Rodgers, WR, Green Bay

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2.12 Christmas Island Crabs – $1.00 / $1.70 / $2.40 / $3.10

RB Kenneth Dixon
WR Taywon Taylor
QB Baker Mayfield
TE Irv Smith Jr
WR Antonio Gandy-Golden 

Irv Smith, another good late second by the Scorpions, leads the way for 2.12 and second round wrap up.   CIC needs to be prepared making their debut in the 2021 draft with picks 23 and 24.  

With the 24th pick of the 2021 MFFL draft, the Christmas Island Crabs select, 

Tylan Wallace, WR, Baltimore

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3.01 Russia Renegades – $1.00 / $1.50 / $2.00 / $2.50

RB James Conner
QB Mason Rudolph
RB Benny Snell
RB Joshua Kelley 

Passing on Claypool for a RB, Nagasaki broke the Steeler tradition pick after Conner, Rudolph and Snell all went with the 3.01.   (Nagasaki took Claypool anyway a few picks later)   McFarland would have been fitting here but went later in the 3rd.   

Freiermuth could fall to Russia here, otherwise, no Steeler again. 

3.01 – RUSSIA – QB Zach Wilson, NY Jets

QBs left on the board, Russia snags another to stash and bleed the league.

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3.02 Nagasaki Kamikazes – $1.00 / $1.40 / $1.90 / $2.40

WR Cooper Kupp
WR Antonio Callaway
RB Darwin Thompson
WR Devin Duvernay 

Wide receiver darts, but only stuck in Cooper Kupp.  From a tiny directional school, perhaps fade the Florida and Texas players at this point for a small school player who fell in rank because of that reason.   Nagasaki selects here, coincidently the one who selected Kupp.  The Kamikazes also selected a small state school RB in Thompson.   Stick to the receivers.   

3.02 – NAGASAKI – WR Nico Collins, Hou

Good value to stash behind Nagasaki’s WR depth.   

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3.03 Ecuador Ewoks – $1.00 / $1.40 / $1.80 / $2.30

RB Joe Williams
RB Jaylen Samuels
WR Diontae Johnson
QB Tua Tagovailoa 

Another backup RB not panning out but a couple Steelers that had good and great production respectively.  A QB stash for the corral, we will wait and see now being armed with receivers this year.  

3.03 – ECUADOR – QB Mac Jones, NE

Needing a QB for the Ewok future, Ecuador takes a chance 

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3.04 Jamaica Jerks – $1.00 / $1.40 / $1.80 / $2.20

QB Nathan Peterman
WR Keke Coutee
RB Tony Pollard
WR Chase Claypool 

Third round rolls of the dice, Claypool emerged from the depth charts to have tremendous value here.   Coutee and Pollard have been reserves.   Peterman never emerged as Josh Allen.   Or, any other starting QB.  

3.04 – JAMAICA – RB Elijah Mitchell, SF

Jamaica doubles down and selects the other SF RB to pair with Sermon.

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3.05 Turkey Jerky – $1.00 / $1.30 / $1.70 / $2.10

RB Elijah Hood
RB Jordan Wilkins
RB Dexter Williams
WR Van Jefferson 

Talk about darts at the RB board.   Swing a miss….. 

3.05 – TURKEY – RB Rhamondre Stevenson, NE

A cluster mess in the NE backfield, Turkey takes a shot with a sit and wait.

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3.06 Jamaica Jerks – $1.00 / $1.30 / $1.60 / $2.00

WR Carlos Henderson
QB Josh Allen
QB Drew Lock
TE Adam Trautman 

One year later and 2 picks deeper, Josh Allen emerges and the Peterman Era ends, before it begins.  Trautman shows potential this deep in the draft.

3.06 – JAMAICA – TE Brevin Jordan, Hou

Jamaica needs a TE, and the pool is running dry.   Can’t wait until the 4th round.

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3.07 Ukraine Grainers –  $1.00 / $1.30 / $1.60 / $1.90

WR Curtis Samuel
WR Javon Wims
QB Dwayne Haskins
QB Justin Herbert 

This pick is actually really good.  Samuel, Wims and especially Herbert.  Haskins showed potential before issues arose.  

3.07 – UKRAINE – RB Chuba Hubbard, Car

Perhaps the only team who can take a chance on Chuba, with CMC protection.

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3.08 Ecuador Ewoks – $1.00 / $1.20 / $1.50 / $1.80

WR Chris Godwin
TE Dallas Goedert
RB Bryce Love
RB La’Mical Perine 

Some great value here with future starters at super cheap contracts.   Until back to back years of RB hunting, which brought this pick’s historical value down. 

3.08 – ECUADOR – WR Tutu Atwell, LAR

Plenty of firepower on the Rams but they will find ways to be creative with Tutu.

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3.09 Egypt Pharaohs – $1.00 / $1.20 / $1.40 / $1.80

QB DeShone Kizer
RB Kalen Ballage
WR KeeSean Johnson
WR KJ Hamler 

The KKKKs stacking up as in a pitcher throwing strikeouts down the lineup.   Kizer, Kalen, KeeSean and KJ…  unhittable.   Good luck Egypt.  Might I recommend Kyle Trask, Kylin Hill, or Khalil Herbert, all ranked in this range? 

3.09 – EGYPT – TE Hunter Long, Mia

Brevin Jordan would be the targeted TE for Egypt but if doesn’t fall, Long starts the grooming process in Pharaohs’ tomb, er, corral.

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3.10 Christmas Island Crabs – $1.00 / $1.20 / $1.40 / $1.60

TE Adam Shaheen
WR Deon Cain
WR Hakeem Butler
RB Anthony McFarland 

Nothing to write home about here.   Move along.

3.10 – CHRISTMAS – RB Jermar Jefferson, Det

Swift left town bringing a great amount of capital.  CIC grabs a lesser expensive RB for Detroit.  

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3.11 Bangkok Blitz – $1.00 / $1.10 / $1.30 / $1.50

RB Jamaal Williams
WR Justin Watson
WR Terry McLaurin
WR Lynn Bowden

50% on a starter here.   Williams has been flex worthy for a couple years and McLaurin a WR2 with WR1 potential.   Bowden is young and wait and see.   Watson got buried in depth.   

3.11 – BANGKOK – RB Javian Hawkins, Atl

Bangkok loves the RB picks and with another available, Hawkins gets buried deep in the RB room in Bangkok.

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3.12 Nagasaki Kamikazes – $1.00 / $1.10 / $1.30 / $1.40

RB Wayne Gallman
WR DeSean Hamilton
WR Jalen Hurd
QB Jordan Love 

Gallman had a cup of coffee but served as an injury fill in. Hamilton and Jalen both waiting to be ‘Hurd’ from, and Love could be on the rise, with GB drama brewing.

3.12 – NAGASAKI – WR Seth Williams, Den

Last year Chase Claypool, this year Nagasaki takes Williams, trying to avoid the “turd” receivers.  

ROUND 4 (ALL CONTRACTS 3 YEAR, league minimum, RFA YEAR 4)

4.01 – WAKE ISLAND – RB Khalil Herbert, Chi

4.02 – SWITZERLAND – RB Kylin Hill, GB

4.03 – ECUADOR – WR Anthony Schwartz, Cle

4.04 – BANGKOK – WR Tamorrion Terry, Sea

4.05 – JAMAICA – RB Jarrret Patterson, Was

4.06 – TURKEY – WR Shi Smith, Car

4.07 – EGYPT – WR Sage Surratt, Det

4.08 – UKRAINE – RB Larry Rountree, LAC

4.09 – CHRISTMAS – WR Jaelon Darden, TB

4.10 – RUSSIA – QB Davis Mills, Hou

4.11 – NAGASAKI – WR Demetric Felton, Cle

4.12 – SAN JUAN – WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Min